Senior BJP figures in West Bengal have openly questioned the party’s commitment to unseating Mamata Banerjee in the 2026 Assembly elections, revealing deep divisions within the state unit at a critical juncture. MP Abhijit Ganguly publicly criticised the reliance on external central observers during the 2021 campaign, while former state president Tathagata Roy accused leaders like Kailash Vijayvargiya of converting a probable victory into defeat through alleged corruption and personal misconduct.

The leadership’s silence on these explosive statements has intensified long-standing speculation of an unspoken arrangement between the BJP and the Trinamool Congress. Many party workers and mid-level functionaries privately acknowledge that the public outbursts, however damaging, have merely voiced widespread frustration over repeated strategic missteps and the perceptible hesitation from Delhi to press corruption cases against key TMC leaders despite ongoing central agency probes.

Organisational paralysis has worsened the situation, with no state committee formed more than two months after the appointment of a new president, leaving booth-level operations, membership expansion, and election machinery effectively frozen. The ambitious target of enrolling one crore members in West Bengal remains stuck at roughly 66 lakh, while the Trinamool Congress has already activated its powerful grassroots network without formally beginning its campaign.

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The party now pins its hopes almost entirely on the Special Intensive Revision of electoral rolls, viewing the exercise as the last major opportunity to remove alleged ineligible voters and alter the demographic balance in several constituencies. Supporters within the BJP insist that rigorous document verification will significantly reduce entries claimed to belong to infiltrators, potentially transforming the electoral landscape ahead of 2026.

However, scepticism persists even on this front, particularly regarding the two-crore-strong Matua community and Hindu refugees from Bangladesh who previously supported the BJP over citizenship assurances. Reports indicate some are now approaching Trinamool helpdesks for documentation support, raising fears of vote erosion. With organisational weakness, eroding morale, and shrinking time, the BJP’s prospects in West Bengal increasingly hinge on an extraordinary turnaround engineered personally by Union Home Minister Amit Shah.

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