The Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) is projected to secure a second consecutive term in Tamil Nadu, according to the Today’s Chanakya exit poll released after the State Assembly election. The survey indicates a strong position for the DMK-led alliance, while also pointing to a reshaping of the state’s political competition with the rise of new and emerging players.

As per the projection, the DMK-led coalition, which also includes the Congress, is expected to win around 125 seats in the 234-member Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly, with a margin of error of 11 seats. The majority mark in the state is 118 seats, meaning the alliance is comfortably placed above the required threshold to form the government for a second straight term if the predictions hold true.

A major talking point of the exit poll is the performance of actor-politician Vijay’s Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK), which is contesting its first major state election. The survey estimates that TVK could secure around 63 seats, with a similar margin of error, suggesting a strong debut and positioning the party as a serious new contender in Tamil Nadu politics. The projection also suggests that TVK may outperform the AIADMK in seat share.

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The AIADMK, which has renewed its alliance with the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), is projected to face a comparatively weaker outcome. Today’s Chanakya estimates that the alliance could win around 45 seats, also with a margin of 11 seats. This places it behind both the DMK-led alliance and TVK in the projected results, indicating a significant setback for the former ruling party in its attempt to regain power.

In terms of vote share, the DMK-led alliance is projected to secure around 39%, while TVK is estimated at 30%, and the AIADMK-led alliance at 27%, each with a 3% margin of error. While exit polls are not final results, the data suggests a politically evolving landscape in Tamil Nadu, where the DMK maintains its dominance, TVK emerges as a strong new force, and AIADMK continues to face electoral challenges despite its alliance with the BJP.

Also Read: Tamil Nadu Exit Polls 2026 Predict DMK Victory With Vijay’s TVK Impacting Results