Rainfall is expected to remain active across several parts of southern, northeastern and eastern India on Thursday, October 1, even as the southwest monsoon begins its further withdrawal from northwest and central parts of the country. The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has forecast fairly widespread to widespread rainfall in parts of Kerala, Mahe and Karnataka, along with scattered to isolated showers across several other states. In contrast, Delhi-NCR and much of northwest India are likely to experience predominantly dry weather, with clear or partly sunny skies and a gradual rise in daytime temperatures.

In Delhi-NCR, weather conditions are expected to remain largely dry on October 1 as the region moves further into the post-monsoon transition. Daytime temperatures are forecast to remain around 34 degrees Celsius, while nighttime temperatures could settle near 23 degrees Celsius. The IMD has indicated that conditions are becoming increasingly favourable for the southwest monsoon to withdraw from northwest India. Parts of central India are also expected to see a reduction in rainfall activity, although isolated showers and thunderstorms could continue in some areas.

Southern India is likely to remain among the more active rainfall zones. Kerala and Mahe, along with parts of Karnataka, are expected to receive fairly widespread to widespread rain. Tamil Nadu, Puducherry and Karaikal could experience isolated to scattered showers, with some locations potentially receiving heavy rainfall. The IMD has also warned of thunderstorms, lightning and gusty winds in parts of the south. Wind speeds could reach 40 to 50 kmph, with stronger gusts of up to 60 kmph possible during thunderstorms.

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The northeastern region is also expected to experience significant rainfall on Thursday. Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram and Tripura may receive fairly widespread to widespread showers, with isolated areas potentially recording heavy rain. Arunachal Pradesh, Assam and Meghalaya are likely to see scattered rainfall, while thunderstorms and lightning could affect several parts of the region. The rain activity is expected to remain significant in some northeastern areas as changing weather patterns continue to influence the region during the transition from the southwest monsoon.

Parts of eastern and central India are also likely to receive intermittent rainfall. Uttarakhand, East Madhya Pradesh, Jharkhand, Bihar, Odisha and parts of West Bengal may experience isolated to scattered showers. East Madhya Pradesh could see thunderstorms and lightning, with rainfall activity expected to continue in some areas until October 3. Odisha may also experience thunderstorms, lightning and gusty winds of 30 to 40 kmph, with stronger gusts reaching up to 50 kmph. These conditions could lead to short periods of intense rainfall in affected areas.

In western India, scattered showers are likely over Konkan and Goa, Madhya Maharashtra and Marathwada, with rainfall activity potentially continuing in parts of the region through October 6. Gujarat and Saurashtra and Kutch may also receive isolated rainfall on October 1. The contrasting weather pattern reflects the ongoing seasonal transition, with the monsoon gradually withdrawing from northern and central parts while rainfall remains active across parts of southern, eastern and northeastern India. Residents in areas expecting thunderstorms and gusty winds have been advised to remain alert to rapidly changing weather conditions.

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