Himanta Biswa Sarma has made bold predictions regarding the upcoming Assam Assembly elections, projecting a landslide victory for the National Democratic Alliance (NDA). According to Sarma, the ruling coalition is likely to win between 90 and 100 seats out of the total 126 constituencies, signaling a dominant performance in the April 9 polls. His forecast reflects confidence in the alliance's organizational strength and widespread support across both urban and rural areas.

The Chief Minister provided a detailed breakdown of expected seat counts for major political parties. He claimed that the opposition Indian National Congress is likely to secure only 16–17 seats, while the All India United Democratic Front (AIUDF) could win 5–6 seats. The regional party Raijor Dal, led by Akhil Gogoi, is expected to manage only a single seat in Dihing, and the Assam Jatiya Parishad may fail to win any seats. Sarma specifically mentioned constituencies like Tihu and Nalbari, predicting comfortable victories for NDA candidates, while also highlighting a closely contested battle in Sivasagar, which he believes will ultimately tilt in favor of his party.

Sarma also elaborated on NDA’s stronghold in Guwahati and other key areas. He stated that there would be “no contest” in the city, as the alliance is expected to win all urban seats with significant margins. Additionally, he expressed confidence about victories in Dhubri and Golakganj and projected that the NDA would perform well in the Lok Sabha segments of Dibrugarh, Lakhimpur, and Kaziranga, further consolidating the coalition’s position in the state. According to him, past efforts by the NDA to connect with tea tribe communities and drive development in Upper Assam have shifted voter loyalties from the Congress to the BJP, overturning what was once a traditional opposition stronghold.

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Political observers noted that Assam has witnessed significant political realignments in recent years. Upper Assam, previously dominated by Congress, has seen substantial gains for the NDA, particularly since the 2016 Assembly elections. Sarma attributed this change to strategic outreach to key communities, local governance initiatives, and the perceived performance of the state government. He highlighted that these factors have created momentum that could translate into a decisive mandate for the ruling alliance in the upcoming elections.

However, the Congress party strongly rejected Sarma’s predictions. Party spokesperson Barnali Phukan described his statements as “daydreaming,” arguing that public dissatisfaction with the current administration could drive voters toward the opposition. She emphasized that Assam’s electorate is eager for change and suggested that the Congress could see a resurgence if voters respond to governance concerns and local issues.

Assam is set to hold elections in a single phase on April 9, covering all 126 Assembly constituencies. The polls are expected to attract intense scrutiny from political analysts and parties alike, as the results could redefine the state’s political landscape and indicate broader trends ahead of future national contests. The contest is shaping up to be a key battle in Northeast India, with both the NDA and Congress vying to consolidate their respective bases while addressing regional concerns.

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