Kerala Close Fight: UDF Edges LDF With 69 Seats, But Victory Margin Razor-Thin

The Congress-led United Democratic Front (UDF) is projected to emerge as the single largest alliance in Kerala, but with a narrow margin, according to the Today’s Chanakya exit poll released after the state assembly election. The survey indicates a closely contested political battle in the 140-member Kerala Legislative Assembly, where the majority mark stands at 71 seats.

As per the projection, the UDF is expected to win around 69 seats, with a margin of error of nine seats, placing its possible range between 60 and 78 seats. This suggests that while the alliance may fall just short of a clear majority on paper, it remains in a strong position to potentially form the government depending on final results and post-poll developments.

The Left Democratic Front (LDF), which currently holds power in the state, is also expected to deliver a strong performance, with the exit poll forecasting 64 seats for the alliance, again with a nine-seat margin of error. This places the LDF in the 55 to 73 seat range, indicating a tightly fought contest where small vote shifts could significantly alter the outcome.

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The Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), meanwhile, is projected to make modest gains in the state, with Today’s Chanakya estimating 7 seats, with a range between 3 and 11 seats. While still a minor player in Kerala’s assembly politics, the projection suggests a gradual expansion of the party’s influence in the southern state’s electoral landscape.

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