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Crude Surge and Weak Rupee Push HPCL, BPCL, IOCL Into a Rs 20 Per Litre Loss Crisis

Rising crude prices and rupee depreciation push Indian oil companies into ₹20 per litre losses.

Shares of India’s major state-run oil marketing companies fell from their intraday highs after reports indicated that the firms are incurring significant losses on the sale of petrol and diesel. According to market analysts, companies such as Indian Oil Corporation, Hindustan Petroleum Corporation and Bharat Petroleum Corporation are currently losing around ₹20 on every litre of petrol and diesel sold in the domestic market. The development has raised concerns among investors about the financial pressure on oil marketing companies amid rising input costs.

The losses stem from a negative gross marketing margin, which measures the difference between the retail selling price of fuels and the total cost incurred in procuring, transporting and selling them. When this margin turns negative, companies effectively sell fuel at prices lower than their operational cost. Analysts say this situation has intensified in recent weeks as global energy prices have climbed while domestic retail prices have remained relatively unchanged.

A key factor contributing to the losses is the sharp rise in international crude oil prices. The benchmark Brent crude has surged by about 33 per cent this year and is currently trading above $80 per barrel. Higher crude prices directly increase the cost of refining petrol and diesel, placing pressure on oil marketing companies that must import large volumes of crude oil to meet India’s fuel demand.

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Currency movements have also worsened the situation for these firms. The Indian Rupee has depreciated by around two per cent against the US Dollar so far this year, making crude oil imports more expensive for Indian refiners. Because global crude transactions are typically conducted in dollars, any weakening of the rupee increases the effective cost for domestic oil marketing companies.

The combined impact of rising crude prices and a weaker rupee has resulted in a “double whammy” for the sector. While costs have risen significantly, retail fuel prices have not increased proportionately, limiting the ability of oil marketing companies to pass on the higher costs to consumers. As a result, analysts say the companies are absorbing substantial losses on every litre of fuel sold.

Following the reports, the shares of Indian Oil Corporation, Hindustan Petroleum Corporation and Bharat Petroleum Corporation slipped from their earlier gains during the trading session. Market participants are closely monitoring global oil prices and currency movements, as continued volatility in either could further affect the profitability and financial performance of India’s state-owned fuel retailers.

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